Saturday, August 27, 2011

As U.S. Housing, So Goes the Economy

The U.S. economy will not see any significant change until these housing numbers rebound. The number of housing starts has never seen such a slump as it's seen since 2007.  In July 2011 there were 604,000 new starts and in January 2006 it was at 2,273,000—a 73% dive!  Of course, that 2 million plus was over-building, represents the great American bubble and was completely unsustainable, but it could be 5-10 years before it bounces back to half that number!  What does that mean?  Expect dismal growth and a dismal job market as the new norm for the foreseeable future, the U.S.'s loss decade.  I just hope it's as good as Japan's lost decade where unemployment really never got worse than 5 or 6%—if only the U.S. could be so lucky!